Rat's Nest
Bloggage, rants, and occasional notes of despair

A Long View

I've mentioned John Reilly a few times in my articles before.  What I've failed to menton, to my discredit, is that he has a blog, The Long View.

His 2 June article is on the current Indo-Pak conflict.  He concludes from the evidence available to him that

  1. There probably won't be an Indo-Pak war beyond the level of border skirmishes and terrorist infiltration;
  2. If there is, it's unlikely to go nuclear;
  3. If it does, India will win decisively.  Not survive it, but win it decisively (i.e., afterwards, there will be a functioning India, but not a functioning Pakistan).

I don't agree with everything that he has to say, but you should definitively read, and think about, what he says.

John "Akatsukami" Braue Monday, June 03, 2002

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